메인 콘텐츠로 건너뛰기
SPORTPLAN
탐색Tribe블로그Calculators
로그인
SPORTPLAN

이벤트를 발견하고, 시즌을 구축하고, 결과를 한곳에서 관리하는 더 명확한 방법.

탐색소개문의개인정보 보호정책
Email us

© 2026 SportPlan. 모든 권리 보유.

by Dockia

SPORTPLAN

이벤트를 발견하고, 시즌을 구축하고, 결과를 한곳에서 관리하는 더 명확한 방법.

Email us

Product

  • 탐색
  • Tribe
  • 블로그
  • Blog
  • Calculators

Sports

  • Running
  • Trail Running
  • Triathlon
  • Gravel
  • Road Cycling
  • HYROX
  • OCR / Spartan
  • Swimming

Cities

  • Barcelona
  • Madrid
  • Valencia
  • Sevilla
  • Bilbao
  • Málaga
  • Girona
  • Zaragoza

Company

  • 소개
  • 문의
  • 개인정보 보호정책
  • 이용 약관
  • 쿠키 정책

© 2026 SportPlan. 모든 권리 보유.

by Dockia

탐색Tribe로그인
HomeCalculatorsWatts → speed predictor
Free tool

Watts → speed predictor

Power in. Speed out. Pure physics.

Type your sustainable power, total weight, gradient, surface and position. We solve the cycling power equation and tell you exactly how fast that watt number is.

Your ride conditions
Power
Sustainable watts for the duration you’re modelling.
W
Total weight (rider + bike)
Default 80 kg covers a 70 kg rider + 10 kg bike with bottles.
kg
Gradient
Use a positive number for climbs, negative for descents. % grade.
%
Surface
Sets the rolling resistance (Crr): road 0.005, gravel 0.012, MTB 0.025.
Position
Sets the aero drag (CdA): hoods 0.36, drops 0.31, aero bars 0.27, TT 0.22.
Air density
Default 1.225 kg/m³ at sea level. Drop to 1.10 at altitude or 1.16 in heat.
kg/m³
Predicted speed
32.6km/h
Solved from the cycling power equation · 20.3 mph
Power-to-weight
2.50 W/kg
Time over 40 km
1:13:31
Time over 100 km
3:03:48
Find cycling events

The cycling power equation

Three forces consume your watts: rolling resistance (Crr × m × g × cos θ × v), aerodynamic drag (½ × ρ × CdA × v³) and gravity on a slope (m × g × sin θ × v). Aero drag scales with the cube of speed — going from 35 to 40 km/h costs roughly 50% more watts to overcome. On flat roads above 30 km/h, drag dominates: 80% of your power fights the air. Climbing inverts this — gravity dominates above 5% and CdA barely matters.

Where the watts go

Aero position gives the biggest free speed for non-climbing rides — moving from hoods (CdA 0.36) to drops (0.31) at 250 W is roughly +1 km/h on flat road, and TT bars (0.22) add +2.5 km/h. Tyres matter too: a 28 mm GP5000 (Crr ~0.0035) saves 12 W vs an everyday training tyre (Crr ~0.0060) at 35 km/h. On climbs steeper than 5%, weight beats aerodynamics — every kg saved buys real time. Set the air-density override at altitude (Mt Ventoux summit air is ~25% thinner than sea level).

Need another calculator?
FTPTriathlonSee all tools

FAQ

Why does the same power produce a different speed on flat vs climbs?▾

On flat roads, ~80% of your power fights aerodynamic drag, which scales with v³. On a 6% climb, gravity dominates: lifting your mass against the slope eats most of the watts and aero drag becomes a small fraction of the total. The same 250 W gives ~37 km/h on flat road and only ~12 km/h on a 6% climb.

How much speed does an aero position add?▾

A lot. Going from sitting up (CdA ~0.45) to hoods (0.36) is +2 km/h at 200 W on flat. Hoods to drops is +1 km/h. Drops to clip-on aero bars is +1.5 km/h. A full TT setup (CdA 0.22) is +4 to +5 km/h vs hoods at the same wattage. Aerodynamics is the cheapest free speed in cycling.

Does drafting affect this calculator?▾

No — this calculates your solo speed at the given power. Drafting in a paceline cuts the power required at a given speed by 20–30% for the second wheel, more for deeper positions. To model drafting, drop your effective CdA by 20–30% (e.g. 0.31 → 0.22 in a peloton).

Should I use rider weight or rider + bike weight?▾

Rider + bike + bottles. The full system mass is what gravity acts on when climbing and what rolling resistance scales with. A 70 kg rider on a 7 kg WorldTour bike with 1 kg of fluid weighs 78 kg; a 70 kg rider on a 12 kg endurance bike with 1.5 kg of fluid weighs 83.5 kg.

Why does air density matter?▾

Aero drag scales linearly with air density (ρ). At sea level, ρ = 1.225 kg/m³. At 2 000 m altitude, ρ ≈ 1.05 — so any given speed is ~14% cheaper aerodynamically. This is why hour records and TT world records are set at altitude. Heat also reduces ρ slightly (warm air is less dense).

How accurate is this vs Best Bike Split or PerfPRO?▾

Within 1–2% on a steady effort. We use the same physics. Real-world rides are messier: wind direction, road surface variation, uphill/downhill recovery and pacing strategy all add noise. Use this as a planning tool — what watts are needed for a target time, what position to choose, what gear ratio to fit.